Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-23 2.342114 2.705590 3.114119 3.608688 4.193049 4.863736 5.694986
2025-03-02 1.760855 2.225366 2.802870 3.579561 4.605832 5.927946 7.780307
2025-03-09 1.485875 1.992930 2.667292 3.641692 5.033266 6.979118 9.959342
2025-03-16 1.269907 1.784252 2.505562 3.609188 5.287668 7.798294 11.941166
2025-03-23 1.114188 1.628162 2.382201 3.594144 5.541183 8.631894 14.084399
2025-03-30 0.980012 1.481078 2.245280 3.527316 5.688584 9.305564 16.082674
2025-04-06 0.897589 1.399911 2.194525 3.582910 6.034040 10.351616 18.934129
2025-04-13 0.802756 1.286090 2.074966 3.502602 6.126482 10.961349 21.091828
2025-04-20 0.761610 1.254466 2.085385 3.645299 6.636361 12.418239 25.239192
2025-04-27 0.701177 1.182645 2.017287 3.634742 6.852917 13.341795 28.475305
2025-05-04 0.667569 1.153407 2.019872 3.754628 7.340691 14.896625 33.482571
2025-05-11 0.623199 1.099801 1.971357 3.767588 7.610004 16.034184 37.787935
2025-05-18 0.578517 1.047260 1.930733 3.816689 8.023537 17.710284 44.290107
2025-05-25 0.527260 0.977874 1.852051 3.782430 8.267016 19.101953 50.680542
2025-06-01 0.493077 0.936904 1.823240 3.848677 8.753328 21.204940 59.853598
2025-06-08 0.453566 0.880330 1.754613 3.814089 8.989357 22.728211 67.896752
2025-06-15 0.420347 0.832635 1.698240 3.798084 9.268882 24.444846 77.279636
2025-06-22 0.386512 0.779762 1.623887 3.726995 9.390289 25.750052 85.833523
2025-06-29 0.365938 0.752960 1.603831 3.786134 9.879010 28.285161 100.044729
2025-07-06 0.337434 0.705667 1.531368 3.700708 9.943105 29.525335 109.857295
2025-07-13 0.326900 0.697382 1.548567 3.852508 10.736616 33.380060 132.488938
2025-07-20 0.307335 0.666340 1.507665 3.841277 11.034293 35.646838 149.429097
2025-07-27 0.297166 0.656094 1.516208 3.968843 11.801331 39.845847 178.008560